Writing

Humanity's Cost to AGI

OpenAI began as a nonprofit in 2015 aiming for safe AGI. By 2025, it’s valued at $500B, with Microsoft’s $1B stake growing 100x. Anthropic and xAI also reached huge valuations in just a few years not through profit, but speculative investment, each round pushing prices higher. In China, most labs open-source for attention, except DeepSeek, which is self-funded and just innovating. The 2008 crisis lost $8T, this AI bubble could be bigger. Either AGI changes everything, or we’re in the biggest bubble ever. We’re in uncharted territory.